A Look Back at 2010-11
There was magic back in Montreal after the Habs made a surprise trip to the Eastern Conference finals in 2010. Expectations were high for the whole team, but for no one more than Carey Price. After the trade of Jaroslav Halak to St. Louis, Price assumed control of the team and was absolutely spectacular. The Canadiens were a small group that looked to beat you with skill over power, and had the eventual champs on the ropes after two games in Boston. They then lost four of five games to Boston, including two games in double OT. Since no one knew how Price would fare as the full-time starter, Habs fans had to be pleased with how the team finished. They did struggle to score goals at times, and it hurt them in the end against Boston. Grade: B- (Carey Price had a lot to do with ranking them this high.)
A Look Ahead to 2011-12
Forwards
Once again, the forward for this Montreal unit will be small (no one stands taller than 6’2) but fast and skilled. They have a very good top center in Tomas Plekanec, who led the team in points last year and has five straight seasons of 20+ goals. Scott Gomez needs to be better for the Habs. He has been absolutely dreadful since the Rangers signed him to a contract, and was at his worst last year scoring only 38 points. If Montreal wants to go back to the playoffs, he has to be better. There remains some decent firepower on the wings, but the one guy that can’t have another slow season in Mike Cammalleri. Cammy was a playoff hero back in 2010, but his goal total fell to only 19 last year. He was signed to score, but he could also benefit from a healthy season. Team captain Brian Gionta will occupy the top spot on the right side for Montreal, and he works well with Plekanec on the top line. The Habs added Erik Cole from Carolina as a way to add some physicality to combat the beating they took from Boston throughout last year. Andrei Kostitsyn, Lars Eller and Max Pacioretty make up a third line that should be able to absolutely fly around the ice. They also add a dangerous option on that third line because they could see the opposition’s bottom defensive pair. Mathieu Darche, Travis Moen, Michael Blunden, David Desharnais and Ryan White round out the forwards. This team needs size and physicality in a big way up front and it’s not coming from the minors. Grade: C+ (The lack of bigger forwards is alarming. A team like Boston could throw them around with ease.)
Defense
The lack of size on offense is made up for on defense. All but one of the team’s current defensemen stands 6’0, with Hal Gill being the biggest at 6’7. This unit can put up the points, provided Andrei Markov stays healthy for a full year. When he is healthy, Markov is one of the best defenseman in the game. That hasn’t been the case for a while, and for the Habs to be a player this year, they need him healthy again. Fortunately for Montreal, the offensive slack was picked up by P.K. Subban last season. Subban was great once he put everything together in the second half of the year, gaining a reputation for himself in the process as someone who plays with a lot of cockiness. That doesn’t matter since he does produce on defense and log some important minutes. He’s a keeper. Also, unlike the forwards, the Habs’ defense has two guys that will throw the body and play a physical game in Gill and Josh Gorges. The Habs lost Gorges for the playoffs last year, and it hurt them in the end. Jaroslav Spacek is another veteran presence for the Habs to send out each game, and he can still contribute offensively. Yannick Weber is the only other defenseman under contract that has played in the NHL. Not a bad unit, but they could definitely use some depth and more physicality. Especially if Markov gets hurt again. Grade: B-
Goaltending
For all the uncertainty the rest of the team has, in goal isn’t one of them. Carey Price was an absolute beast last year for the Habs and was event in consideration for the Vezina Trophy at one point. Despite all of his brilliance, Price was forced to play in 72 games because his team needed him every night. That can wear a goalie out. However, Price was also brilliant against Boston, he just got no help from his offense. As good as he is, he’s going to have to steal games for the Habs once again. Filling his role of backup is Peter Budaj, who comes over after five years in Colorado. Budaj won’t play much, but has shown that he can handle a heavy workload if need be. All is good in the Montreal nets right now. Grade: A- (If Price gets hurt, they will be in a lot of trouble.)
Prediction
The East is getting bigger by the year, and the Habs aren’t. There are too many injury-prone skaters, not much depth, little to no physicality and streaky scoring for me to buy stock in the Canadiens this year. Unless Carey Price suddenly becomes Patrick Roy, they won’t make the playoffs this year. 4th in Northeast, 9th in East.